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Learn about AKADEMIYA2063's research findings on the impacts of the Ukraine Crisis on African Economies Find Out

HIGHLIGHTS

12th Malabo Montpellier Forum - June 8
The 12th Meeting of the Malabo Montpellier Forum will unveil the Panel’s forthcoming report, “Bridging the Gap: Policy Innovations to Make Food Systems Work for Women in Africa”. Drawing on the experience of Ethiopia, Ghana, and Togo, the report posits that with appropriate support and opportunities, policymakers can harness the potential of women in the continental and global efforts to transform how food is produced, processed, distributed, and consumed across Africa.
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Ukraine Crisis Webinar Series: Session XVII – April 25
Based on AKADEMIYA2063's Ukraine Brief 23, "Trade and Market Disruptions: Impact on Growth, Food Security and Poverty in Rwanda," session XVII will focus on the global commodity trade and market disruptions and their effects on growth, poverty, and food security in Rwanda. Discussions will assess the ramifications for the broader economy in terms of effects on growth, employment, income levels and distribution, income inequality, and poverty, and equally examine the global commodity price dynamics during the conflict period and the direct impacts on intra-African trade.
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Africa Agriculture Watch (AAgWa) Launch Event – April 27
Launched in 2021, the AAgWa web-based platform employs cutting-edge machine learning techniques to predict agricultural yields & production levels of several crops across Africa to support decision-making, monitoring, crisis management & effective intervention. Themed “Leveraging AI & Satellite Remote Sensing Data for Decision-making in the African Agricultural Sector,” the event will facilitate high-level stakeholder engagement around the use of AI & emerging technologies to drive agricultural productivity & strengthen resilience across Africa for better crisis preparedness.
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AGRODEP Membership Call for Applications!
The AGRODEP Modeling Consortium is excited to announce a Call for Applications for the AGRODEP 2023 Cohort of Members. The overarching goal of AGRODEP, founded in 2010 and led by AKADEMIYA2063, is to create a group of modelers to take a leading role in the study of strategic development questions and the broader economic growth and policy debate across Africa, specifically supporting the analytical needs of the CAADP implementation agenda. Currently, the AGRODEP network has over 230 members from 30 countries. Join the AGRODEP Economic Modeling Network!
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Ukraine Crisis Webinar Series: Session XV – April 11
Based on AKADEMIYA2063's Ukraine Brief 24, "Exposure and Vulnerability to Global Wheat and Vegetable Oils Trade and Market Disruptions: Malawi Case Study," this session will investigate how the Russia-Ukraine war has affected global trade and market disruptions that are being transmitted to African economies via various channels, with a focus on Malawi. The speaker will also examine how prices of individual commodities such as fertilizers, wheat products, vegetable oils, oilseed products, and their close local substitutes are changing within domestic economic sectors, with higher wheat prices resulting in generalized food price increases across urban and rural households.
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Ukraine Crisis and African Economies – Brief 26
The significant rise in global fertilizer prices will almost certainly have a considerable impact on Malawi's economy. While Malawi does not import directly from Russia or Ukraine, instead relying on international markets to fulfill its domestic needs, the disruption of global fertilizer supply chains, and the resulting sharp price increases, will undoubtedly impact Malawi's economy. This brief describes the outcomes of simulations of this chain of events for Malawi.
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Ukraine Crisis and African Economies – Brief 25
The widespread upheavals caused by the war are a source of concern for African countries, which rely heavily on agricultural commodity exports and imports. This brief summarizes key findings from a three-year analysis of global commodity price shocks caused by the Russia-Ukraine war and their effects on Malawi's economy (2022-2024). It also compares the country's growth, poverty, and food security outcomes to what they would have been if the economy had continued on its pre-war path.
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Ukraine Crisis Webinar Series: Session XIV – April 4
Based on AKADEMIYA2063's Ukraine Brief 25, "Exposure to Global Commodity Trade and Market Disruptions: Impacts on Growth, Poverty, and Food Security in Malawi," this session will discuss Malawi's level of exposure to global commodity trade and market disruptions, as well as the effects on growth, poverty, and food security. In addition, the speaker will examine Malawi's projected deterioration in Terms of Trade (TOT) due to the Russia-Ukraine war, the ensuing decline in growth and employment, and the negative impacts on income levels, distribution, and general cost of living in Malawi.
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Ukraine Crisis Webinar Series: Session XIII – March 28
Based on AKADEMIYA2063's Ukraine Brief 19, "Impacts on Commodity Markets in Uganda,” session XIII will focus on the short-run effects of the Russia-Ukraine crisis on commodity prices across local markets in Uganda. The speaker will also examine the global commodity price dynamics during the conflict period and the direct impacts on intra-African trade, also discussing recommendations for the government to invest in programs that aim to increase production and productivity to offset future global shocks on domestic food prices.
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2023 AGRODEP Annual Conference – March 21-23
The last AGRODEP Annual Conference was held in 2019 as an in-person event with more than 100 researchers & stakeholders in attendance. The 2023 Conference, slated for March 21-23, 2023, in Kigali, Rwanda, will bring together key actors from the AGRODEP network, including members & partners, to exchange on cutting-edge economic modeling & research tools, access to data sources, training, research grants & networking opportunities to enable them to take a leading role in addressing strategic development issues in Africa.
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Ukraine Crisis Webinar Series: Session XII – March 14
Based on AKADEMIYA2063's Ukraine Brief 15, "The Russia-Ukraine Conflict: Impacts on Commodity Markets in Mozambique," the session will examine the short-term effects of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on commodity prices in Mozambique's domestic markets. The speaker will also examine commodity price dynamics based on location, due to the high import dependency and larger incomes in urban centers compared to rural areas.
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Better understanding community-level nutrition and vulnerability status for enhanced crisis preparedness and response capacities – Board Seminar
Join AKADEMIYA2063 & the Conseil National de Développement de la Nutrition (CNDN) on Thursday, March 9, to discuss Africa's nutrition status & promote evidence for better crisis preparedness. The seminar will provide a platform to exchange with key stakeholders & development partners on the data & analytics needed to deploy better-informed programs & instruments to anticipate & respond to shocks when they occur & ascertain protections for the most vulnerable communities.
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Ukraine Crisis Webinar Series: Session XI – February 28
Based on AKADEMIYA2063's Ukraine Brief 21, "Global Fertilizer Trade and Market Disruptions: Impacts on Agricultural Productivity, Growth & Food Security for Rwanda," & Brief 22, “Global Wheat Trade & Market Disruptions: Income & Food Security Effects for Rwanda,” session XI will focus on agricultural productivity & growth trends & effects in the fertilizer sector, also analyzing the effects of global wheat price disruptions on gross incomes, food prices & food consumption levels in the country.
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AAgWa Crop Production Forecast Brief – No. 10
The Africa Agriculture Watch (AAgWa) Production Forecasts by AKADEMIYA2063 aim to provide more accurate & timely statistics about harvest & yield levels for 9 key crops across nearly 50 African countries. AKADEMIYA2063’s Africa Crop Production (AfCP) model is an AI-based forecasting model applied to remotely sensed geo-biophysical data to produce estimates of expected crop yields & harvests at the beginning of every growing season. Brief #10 provides forecasts for Millet production in Ghana.
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AAgWa Crop Production Forecast Brief – No. 9
The Africa Agriculture Watch (AAgWa) Production Forecasts by AKADEMIYA2063 aim to provide more accurate & timely statistics about harvest & yield levels for 9 key crops across nearly 50 African countries. AKADEMIYA2063’s Africa Crop Production (AfCP) model is an AI-based forecasting model applied to remotely sensed geo-biophysical data to produce estimates of expected crop yields & harvests at the beginning of every growing season. Brief #9 provides forecasts for Millet production in Guinea Bissau.
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AAgWa Crop Production Forecast Brief – No. 8
The Africa Agriculture Watch (AAgWa) Production Forecasts by AKADEMIYA2063 aim to provide more accurate & timely statistics about harvest & yield levels for 9 key crops across nearly 50 African countries. AKADEMIYA2063’s Africa Crop Production (AfCP) model is an AI-based forecasting model applied to remotely sensed geo-biophysical data to produce estimates of expected crop yields & harvests at the beginning of every growing season. Brief #8 provides forecasts for Millet production in Guinea.
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AAgWa Crop Production Forecast Brief – No. 7
The Africa Agriculture Watch (AAgWa) Production Forecasts by AKADEMIYA2063 aim to provide more accurate & timely statistics about harvest & yield levels for 9 key crops across nearly 50 African countries. AKADEMIYA2063’s Africa Crop Production (AfCP) model is an AI-based forecasting model applied to remotely sensed geo-biophysical data to produce estimates of expected crop yields & harvests at the beginning of every growing season. Brief #7 provides forecasts for Millet production in Mali.
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AAgWa Crop Production Forecast Brief – No. 6
The Africa Agriculture Watch (AAgWa) Production Forecasts by AKADEMIYA2063 aim to provide more accurate & timely statistics about harvest & yield levels for 9 key crops across nearly 50 African countries. AKADEMIYA2063’s Africa Crop Production (AfCP) model is an AI-based forecasting model applied to remotely sensed geo-biophysical data to produce estimates of expected crop yields & harvests at the beginning of every growing season. Brief #6 provides forecasts for Millet production in Niger.
Download
AAgWa Crop Production Forecast Brief – No. 5
The Africa Agriculture Watch (AAgWa) Production Forecasts by AKADEMIYA2063 aim to provide more accurate & timely statistics about harvest & yield levels for 9 key crops across nearly 50 African countries. AKADEMIYA2063’s Africa Crop Production (AfCP) model is an AI-based forecasting model applied to remotely sensed geo-biophysical data to produce estimates of expected crop yields & harvests at the beginning of every growing season. Brief #5 provides forecasts for Millet production in Sierra Leone.
Download
AAgWa Crop Production Forecast Brief – No. 4
The Africa Agriculture Watch (AAgWa) Production Forecasts by AKADEMIYA2063 aim to provide more accurate & timely statistics about harvest & yield levels for 9 key crops across nearly 50 African countries. AKADEMIYA2063’s Africa Crop Production (AfCP) model is an AI-based forecasting model applied to remotely sensed geo-biophysical data to produce estimates of expected crop yields & harvests at the beginning of every growing season. Brief #4 provides forecasts for Millet production in Burkina Faso.
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AKADEMIYA2063 Knowledge Products

AKADEMIYA2063 is an Africa-based non-profit research organization with headquarters in Kigali, Rwanda and a regional office in Dakar, Senegal. Its mission is to provide data, policy analysis, and capacity-strengthening support to enable African countries to achieve the African Union’s Agenda 2063 goals of inclusive and sustainable development and economic prosperity. AKADEMIYA2063 conducts strategic analysis to address emerging and time-sensitive topics and to fill knowledge gaps on priority issues faced by Africa. Our research findings, AKADEMIYA2063 Knowledge Products, are published in flagship reports and other research publications to support evidence-based decision-making toward accelerating Africa’s broader development goals.

AKADEMIYA2063 ON THE UKRAINE CRISIS

Global Commodity Trade and Market Disruptions: Impact on Growth, Food Security and Poverty ...

Brief 23
With Russia and Ukraine being substantial players in the global commodities market, the intensification ...
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Global Wheat Trade and Market Disruptions: Income and Food Security Effects for Rwanda

Brief 22
The Russian war on Ukraine raises several concerns about trade in grain as the two countries are major ...
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Global Fertilizer Trade and Market Disruptions: Impacts on Agricultural Productivity, Growth ...

Brief 21
Rwanda is expected to be significantly affected by the sharp increases in global fertilizer prices ...
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Predicting Food Crop Production in Times of Crisis: The Case of Wheat in Zambia

Brief 20
With the numerous challenges related to agricultural trade that many countries currently face, ...
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AKADEMIYA2063's RESOURCES ON COVID-19

Mapping community vulnerability to identify potential major hot spots

Workstream 1

The Covid-19 pandemic has disrupted lives across the globe in just a few months. And yet, there are no...

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Tracking food staples price changes and their impact on food and nutrition security

Workstream 2

The pandemic is likely to be more disruptive to local food markets and thus have more serious effects on the...

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Food production systems disruption and effects on communities and the national economy

Workstream 3

From effects on access to seeds and fertilizers, limited movement of goods, declining demand, to labor...

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Global trade disruption and the effects on economic growth and livelihoods

Workstream 4

The pandemic has not left a single region of the world untouched. Its disruptive effects have equally reached...

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Mission and Vision

AKADEMIYA2063’s overall mission is to create, across Africa and led from Rwanda, state-of-the art technical capacities to support the efforts by the Member States of the African Union to achieve the key goals of the agenda 2063 of transforming national economies to boost growth and prosperity.

Our History

AKADEMIYA2063 was established to continue and expand the portfolio of policy research and capacity-strengthening support for the implementation of the Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Programme (CAADP), which was initiated and previously incubated by the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). This portfolio has included three main programs: the Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System (ReSAKSS), the African Growth and Development Policy (AGRODEP) Modeling Consortium, and the Malabo Montpellier Panel (MaMo Panel).